Can the US win a simultaneous war against Canada and Mexico, if the war happened today?
Certainly, but it would not be a sure thing.
Assuming Canada and Mexico get no help, and the U.S. is willing to fight a war of attrition, they are more than capable of grinding down both nations to nothing. They are also capable of scoring quick victories against major targets.
Two things could get in the way:
- Either nation could switch from conventional warfare to guerrilla tactics. Many Mexicans are familiar with these tactics already because there are rebel groups fighting the government.
- Either nation could get help. If the U.S. attacked Canada, NATO would be required to declare war against the United States. Assuming NATO could move troops closer to American soil (perhaps on French and British dependencies near the United States like St. Pierre & Miquelon or Barbados) they could open up several new fronts.
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